He is professor of major programme management at oxford universitys said business school and the first director of the universitys bt centre for major programme management. Five misunderstandings about casestudy research flyvbjerg, bent published in. Flyvbjerg, professor bent st annes college, oxford. Delivering largescale it projects on time, on budget, and on. Flyvbjerg, bent, priemus, hugo and van wee, bert, eds. Flyvbjerg, holm and buhl 2002, for example, provide an examination of rail, fixedlink and road megaprojects, which finds that cost overruns are both prevalent and predictable, with overruns of 44. He is the most cited scholar in the world in megaproject planning and management. Flyvbjerg, five misunderstandings about casestudy research, 9. Longterm concessions for megaprojects with publicprivate partnerships by bob poole risk and megaprojects largescale secondgeneration managed lanes projects are inherently megaprojects. The case of transportation bent flyvbjerg, mette k. Bent flyvbjerg, mette skamris holm, and soren buhl compare the actual cost of a transportation project at the time of completion with the estimated cost at the time of the decision to build. Nine out of ten transport projects, six out of ten energy projects, seven out of ten dams, five out of ten technology projects, and ten. Cost estimates at each successive stage typically progress toward a smaller.
His coauthored 2003 book, megaprojects and risk, concluded that cost overruns of. Flyvbjerg documents what he calls the iron law of megaprojects. Richly informed, powerfully argued, and clearly written, this book opens up a. Qualitative inquiry doi link to publication from publisher. California high speed rail flyvbjerg on why the worst projects get built excerpt with machiavellis formula. Richly informed, powerfully argued, and clearly written, this book opens up a new future for the social sciences. Bent flyvbjerg, aalborg university, denmark, nils bruzelius, stockholms universitet, werner rothengatter. Megaprojects and risk provides the first detailed examination of the phenomenon of megaprojects. Denne artikel undersoger fem udbredte misforstaelser vedrorende casestudiet som forskningsmetode. Wheeler, this book makes an important contribution to understanding the infrastructure development process. Bt professor and chair of major programme management, said business school. Flyvbjerg argues that such projects consistently end up costing more with smaller benefits than projected and almost always end up with costs that exceed the benefits. Mar 08, 20 flyvbjerg, bent and budzier, alexander, why your it project may be riskier than you think september 1, 2011.
A read is counted each time someone views a publication summary such as the title, abstract, and list of authors, clicks on a figure, or views or downloads the fulltext. Bent flyvbjerg explains his views on the need for strong strategic governance, an open and honest democracy, and how he sees the role and responsibility of the critical researcher. Making social science matter isbn 9780521772686 pdf epub. He was previously professor of planning at aalborg university, denmark and chair of infrastructure policy and planning at delft university. The policy research working paper series disseminates the findings of. Megaprojects have become a significant part of the commercial world, with a correspondingly huge impact on our personal lives. Fem misforstaelser om casestudiet five misunderstandings. Department of energy 2018 project management workshop managing uncertainty 1 critical success factors and forecasting project performance edward j. Bent flyvbjerg author of making social science matter. Bent flyvbjerg is professor and chair of major programme management at oxford. This paper takes stock of megaproject management, an emerging and hugely costly field of study, by first answering the question of how large megaprojects are by measuring them in the units of mega, giga, and tera, and concluding with how we are presently entering a new tera era of trillion. Megaprojects and risk from technological forecasting and social change vol.
At the same time that case studies are widely used and have produced canonical texts, it may be observed that the case study as a methodology is generally held in low regard, or is simply ignored, within the academy. Aalborg universitet five misunderstandings about case. Pdf truth and lies about megaprojects researchgate. Jun 18, 20 flyvbjerg, bent, fem misforstaelser om casestudiet five misunderstandings about casestudy research february 2010. Our research documents that projects across industries and geographies struggle to meet the most basic targets.
View bent flyvbjerg s profile on linkedin, the worlds largest professional community. Professor bent flyvbjerg professorial fellow and director, management studies email. Apr 11, 2015 what results, flyvbjerg says, is the survival of the unfittest. The linked data service provides access to commonly found standards and vocabularies promulgated by the library of congress. Research by professor bent flyvbjerg of oxford universitys said business school has analysed this sensibility, among other things, to achieve a better understanding of ambition and risk in megaprojects. The oxford handbook of megaproject management hardcover. The book gives the strong impression that the big budget government and private projects like the channel tunnel, the oresund bridge and many rail. Flyvbjerg presents strong evidence showing how megaprojects usually unfold. Bent flyvbjerg, a professor at oxford universitys said business school, is the worlds foremost expert on megaprojects. Powerfullyargued,withclearmethodological guidelines and practical examples, makingsocialsciencematter. Flyvbjerg misunderstandings about casestudy research99 47 five misunderstandings about casestudy research bent flyvbjerg hen i first became interested in indepth casestudy research, i was trying to understand how power and rationality shape each other and form the urban environments in which we live flyvbjerg, 1998. He works for better management of megaprojects and cities. He was previously professor of planning at aalborg university, denmark and chair of infrastructure policy and. The oxford handbook of megaproject management provides stateoftheart scholarship in the emerging field of megaproject management.
All content in this area was uploaded by bent flyvbjerg. It is a fascinating account of how the promoters of multibi. Critical success factors and forecasting project performance. Second, it documents a much neglected topic in economics.
Pdf fem misforstaelser om casestudiet bent flyvbjerg. Various cost estimates are made at different stages of the process. Watch in this video how to say and pronounce flyvbjerg. Flyvbjerg, bent 2008 public planning of megaprojects.
Making social science matter was written in danish and translated into english, very beautifully, by steven sampson. This would arundhati roys studies of dams document the help improve megaproject. Bent flyvbjerg born 1952 is a danish economic geographer. Pdf as megaprojects have become ubiquitous, their real benefits and costs have come under. According to chief economist and director of transportation policy at infrastructure management group, inc. Power and project management an appreciation stewart clegg, centre for management and organization studies, university of technology, sydney. What you should know about megaprojects pmi academic summary. Comparison of capital costs per routekilometre in urban rail. May 25, 2015 bent flyvbjerg of oxford university speaks with econtalk host russ roberts about the political economy of megaprojectsmassive investments of a billion dollars or more in infrastructure or technology.
This cited by count includes citations to the following articles in scholar. This round of research is based on the more than 5,400 projects that were in the database as of june 2012. Moving beyond the purely analytic or technical, flyvbjerg compares the theoretical study of human activity with realworld situations and demonstrates how the social sciences can become relevant againinthemodernworld. The dubious ethics of the american planning association, 32 cities 157163. Bent flyvbjerg professor and founding chair of major programme management said business school oxford university draft 9. Bent flyvbjerg world bank policy research working paper 3781, december 2005 the policy research working paper series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about development issues. Bent flyvbjerg is the first bt professor and inaugural chair of major programme management at oxford universitys said business school and a professorial fellow of st annes college. We interviewed bent flyvbjerg, who has extensively studied megaproject. Cambridge core political sociology megaprojects and risk by bent flyvbjerg. The politics of megaproject approval, by bent flyvbjerg principles, machiavelli seems to have been chief architect on these projects. An overview bent flyvbjerg, oxford university, uk this controversial, yet profound, paper challenges the prevailing wisdom relevant to mega project management.
The iron law, or what every politician should know about. Pdf as megaprojects have become ubiquitous, their real benefits and costs have come under increased scrutiny. An anatomy of ambition 2003 by bent flyvbjerg is a dry but interesting look at how expensive projects are chronically over budget, under utilised and delivered late. Bent flyvbjerg born 10 december 1952 is a danish economic geographer. A reprint from joseph coates consulting futurist, inc. Bent flyvbjerg, 2014, what you should know about megaprojects and why. Studies social sciences, management, and project management.
How inaccurate are demand forecasts in public works projects. He is the most cited scholar in the world in megaproject planning and management, and among the most cited in social science methodology. He was previously professor of planning ataalborg university, denmark and chair of infrastructure policy and planning at delft university of technology, the. And as is wellknown, transportation megaprojects involve significant risks. Alfred taubman college of architecture and urban planning. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations are less than fully polished. The professional associations role comment on bent flyvbjerg, how planners deal with uncomfortable knowledge. Bent flyvbjerg is professor and chair of major programme management at oxford university. It is a fine addition to sociological theory, and deserves a careful reading.
European journal of transport and infrastructure research publication date. Bent flyvbjerg is the first bt professor and inaugural chair of major programme management at oxford. Megaprojects are large, complex projects that typically cost billions of dollars and impact millions of people, like building a highspeed rail line, a megadam, a national health or pensions it system, a new widebody aircraft, or staging the olympics. He was previously professor of planning at aalborg university, denmark and chair of infrastructure policy and planning at delft university of. A leading expert on cost overruns is bent flyvbjerg, a danish professor of planning. Bent flyvbjerg quotes author of making social science matter.
Bent flyvbjerg first bt professor and inaugural chair of. Bent flyvbjerg is the author of making social science matter 3. Flyvbjerg 2008 why worst projects get built youtube. This includes data values and the controlled vocabularies that house them. We interviewed bent flyvbjerg, who has extensively studied megaproject development. It is a new addition to the venerable tradition set down by peter winch, hubert dreyfus, harold garfinkel, and many others, who claim that the canons. An anatomy of ambition is a 2003 book by bent flyvbjerg, nils bruzelius, and werner rothengatter, published by cambridge university press.
As flyvbjerg 2007 has shown, the quality of the selected projects has a direct impact on the meeting of planned deadlines and budgets. Overestimation of demand and underestimation of costs. Bent flyvbjerg argues that the strength of social sciences lies in its rich, reflexive analysis of values and power, essential to the social and economic development of any society. Bent flyvbjerg has lent his name to the socalled flyvbjerg debate, which is a debate over the role of social science in society in response to his bookmaking social science matter. An anatomy of ambition bent flyvbjerg, nils bruzelius and werner. Sunstein, 2016, the principle of the malevolent hiding hand. Also, the technologically highrisk apollo aerospace programme is considered a classic success story of megaproject planning and implementation. Buhl d espite the enormous sums of money being spent on transportation infrastructure, surprisingly little systematic knowledge exists about the costs, bene. Why your it project may be riskier than you think by bent. Flyvbjerg, bent and cowi, 2004, procedures for dealing with optimism bias in. Bent also writes about the philosophy and methodology of social science. Jan 09, 2018 bent flyvbjerg, a danish geographer and oxford business professor who coined the iron law of megaprojects, probably wouldnt be at all surprised by the governments irrational approval of site c. World bank policy research working paper 3781, december 2005. Aalborg universitet five misunderstandings about casestudy.
He is professor of major programme management at oxford university s said business school and the first director of the universitys bt centre for major programme management. Abstract the article first describes characteristics of major infrastructure projects. Professor flyvbjergs research focuses on the better management of megaprojects, including the olympic games, and cities. Datasets available include lcsh, bibframe, lc name authorities, lc classification, marc codes, premis vocabularies, iso language codes, and more. Flyvbjerg argues that such projects consistently end up costing more with smaller benefits than projected and almost always end up with costs that exceed the.
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